Commodity Market Intelligence OS · Institutional grade

Commodity Market Intelligence OS

Map commodity shocks into forecasts, sector exposure, company sensitivity, and research-ready scenario memos. The AI Market Field and 3D RL Regime Cockpit surface regime shift pressure. Powered by forecast ensembles, regime detection, and model-assisted research workflows.

See my first shock memo Open commodity hubs
62 commodity hubs · Chronos-2 + TimesFM 90-day consensus · 10 premium decision products · Commodity market intelligence and Supply-chain risk analytics for educational and informational analytics
01Commodity price shockLive tape and freshness guardrails
02AI Market FieldRegime shift and transition risk
03forecast uncertaintyChronos-2 + TimesFM forecast fan chart
04Shock MemoResearch memo generation and Pro unlock
For market watchers Research commodity-linked business and market risk without recommendations For analysts Faster route from price tape to sector and company read For operators Catch input-cost shocks before margin pressure
Today’s live reports → Open commodity hubs → Methodology →
Daily commodity intelligence across energy, metals, and agriculture.
— WTI Today
200 reports Research Reports
62 hubs Commodity Hubs

AI Market Field

Every point is a market regime.

CommodityNode maps momentum, volatility, liquidity, and catalyst pressure into a live state space, identifying when a commodity is shifting from ordinary noise into decision-relevant regime change.

policy = maximize(research context − unmanaged risk)
Forecast stack regime layer scenario response
Live regime map, exposure context, and scenario handoff in one view. 84% signal confidence 3 linked sectors
Model output Momentum +1.8σ · Volatility P91 · Liquidity thinning Regime signal strengthened across energy-sensitive inputs.
Buyer exposure review Industrial margins · shipping fuel · storage optionality Workflow routes the move into procurement and margin scenarios.
Supply-chain impact path Trend pressure / high volatility Stress-test exposed buyers and linked sectors before action.
Analyze current regime Build my first workflow

Illustrative model simulation. Research and decision-support only.

CINEMATIC REGIME COCKPIT · LATENT REGIME MANIFOLD Momentum / Volatility / Liquidity / Catalyst / Exposure
Regime confidence 84% · Volatility P91
Transition risk elevated Review scenario
Regime confidence84% · Volatility P91
Transition riskReview scenario
Signal confidence84%

Forecast Intelligence

Forecast ranges for shock-driven markets

Consensus forecasts built from Chronos-2 and TimesFM 2.5, with agreement scoring, full scenario bands, freshness, limitations, and research-only guardrails.

Model stack Chronos-2 + TimesFM 2.5 + no-harm routing Consensus prefers the route that avoided harming holdout quality across the simulator universe.
Benchmark basis 5Y · 30D · 8 windows · weighted score Best-context comparisons were used before anything hit production.
Freshness Daily forecast refresh When a feed is weak, CommodityNode suppresses fake precision instead of forcing numbers.
Gold
Consensus forecast with dual-model comparison and agreement scoring
Historical Consensus Chronos-2 TimesFM 2.5 Consensus range
Current Price
Latest verified snapshot
90-Day Consensus
Consensus range loaded
Refresh guarded
Upside (P90)
Upside band guarded
Downside (P10)
Downside band guarded
Decision Layer
Consensus
Chronos-2 + TimesFM 2.5
Run Scenario Simulator →
Model-assisted forecast ranges for all major commodities
Consensus, Chronos-2, and TimesFM views for copper, silver, wheat, uranium, lithium, and more.
View All Forecasts →
Forecast disagreement panel

Chronos-2 vs TimesFM disagreement

Model spread, agreement score, and horizon drift are shown before any research memo unlock. High disagreement routes the workflow into scenario validation and research-only review instead of a single-point forecast claim.

Shock propagation

Impact Constellation maps the second-order ripple after the forecast.

Once the regime field and forecast path are visible, CommodityNode translates the shock into beneficiary, pressure, watchlist, and sector-propagation context.

How it works

Three steps from commodity shock to research context

No new language to learn. Track the move, map who is exposed, then stress-test scenarios for planning.

  1. 01

    Track the shock

    Live commodity tape with 52-week range, agreement score, and disruption alerts — not another headline feed.

    See live hubs in the main navigation
  2. 02

    Map the impact

    Industries, sectors, and named companies ranked by sensitivity to each move — with confidence and model agreement.

    Open Intelligence Lab from the main navigation
  3. 03

    Stress-test scenarios

    Run Iran · China · OPEC · Fed scenarios against your watchlist and save a repeatable daily workflow.

    Run the simulator once the move deserves work

Today’s research setups

Start with the commodity moves most likely to change business risk context now.

Each setup starts with the live move, translates the downstream implication, then routes you into the hub or simulator for research context.

Open today’s research setups Test a live scenario now
Why this is different

Headlines tell you what moved. Charts tell you where the price changed. CommodityNode shows which sectors, companies, and scenarios deserve deeper review.

Best route to a decision

Open the setup → read the live narrative → verify the forecast → model the scenario. Pro becomes relevant only when you need to finish the workflow.

Personalized command center

Build your commodity decision workflow once. Reuse it every day.

Save your role, key commodities, watchlist names, and event playbooks so CommodityNode can route you straight to the setups that matter. This is how the product stops being a read and starts becoming a repeatable edge.

Generate the first shock memo now; saving the workflow is optional after you see the answer.
Build your workflow once, then use CommodityNode as a faster daily decision surface.
Saved in this browser

You already have a saved workflow. Re-open the live hub, then review the scenario against your saved watchlist.

Saved role
Choose a role to personalize
Saved commodities
Use a preset or pick a commodity
Saved watchlist
Add tickers to map exposure
Saved playbooks
No event playbooks saved yet
Build my workflow Compare plans

Personalized Shock Memo Preview

Two free answers first. The locked Pro research memo appears only after value is visible.

Start with a current commodity move, see the exposure path, then unlock the deeper company sensitivity mapping, substitute chains, and Forecast uncertainty range when the workflow matters.

Free answer 01 What changed?

Natural Gas pressure is translating into utility fuel planning, LNG margin review, and fertilizer input-cost sensitivity.

Free answer 02 Where does it transmit?

Propagation map routes the shock into power producers, chemicals, transport fuel exposure, and procurement planning support.

Locked Pro research memo Company sensitivity mapping + scenario memo

Unlock the research-ready memo with Forecast uncertainty range, substitute chains, exposure confidence, and methodology notes.

Unlock Pro memo

Market scenario analytics

Move the shock slider and watch exposure propagate.

The simulator converts oil, gas, metals, and agriculture shocks into sector exposure, substitute-chain pressure, and supply-chain risk analytics without trading advice.

Run scenario simulator
Crude Oil shock+8.5%
AirlinesMargin pressure
RefinersSpread review
ChemicalsInput cost watch
ConsumersFuel drag

Intelligence Lab

A premium question/input/output/pro-unlock workspace for commodity research.

The lab turns a user question, commodity input, and saved watchlist into forecast context, exposure mapping, and a research memo route with clear freshness, limitations, and research-only disclaimers.

Open Intelligence Lab
QuestionWhat if gas spikes?
InputCommodity + watchlist
OutputResearch memo route
Pro unlockCompany sensitivity table

Commodity Universe

hubs / companies / industries / themes stay connected in one market map.

Browse commodity hubs, company sensitivity pages, industry exposure routes, and thematic shock chains without losing the current market scenario analytics thread.

Open Commodity Universe
HubsLive price context
CompaniesCompany sensitivity mapping
IndustriesSector exposure
ThemesSubstitute chains

PayPal Pro unlock

Pay only when the locked research artifact is worth opening.

Pro unlock is tied to the specific memo, scenario, and company sensitivity mapping you are viewing. PayPal server verification confirms access after checkout.

Pro 30-Day Research Access Shock Memo + Scenario Simulator + Intelligence Lab

Educational and informational analytics for market scenario analytics, procurement planning support, and research memo generation.

Compare Pro unlock
Flagship decision strip

Turn the shock into a scan-first workflow.

Instead of reading blocks of copy, scan the live move, forecast pressure, regime, and confidence first — then open the downstream path only when the move deserves more work.

Open scenario workflow
Impact flow Sankey

See where today’s commodity shock transmits next.

Latest verified commodity transmission path across sectors and names.

One question. One workflow.

What shock do you want to understand next?

Type a commodity, sector, or event. We'll route you into the live hub, the matching scenario, and the report that already covers it.

See my first shock memo Compare plans

Methodology / Risk / Trust

Every forecast and RL visual carries freshness, limitations, and a research-only disclaimer.

CommodityNode labels direct futures, proxy benchmarks, model-assisted forecasts, and analysis-only pages. The product is Research and decision-support only, not advice, brokerage, or return promises.

Read methodology
FreshnessArtifact timestamp
LimitationsProxy and feed labels
Research-onlyNo recommendations
ReviewMethodology and corrections