Live Forecast Engine

Commodity Scenario
Simulator

Model price shock scenarios before macro events, supply disruptions, or earnings season. Select a commodity, apply a scenario, and see how the ripple effects propagate through related equities.

Before OPEC? Open the oil playbook →
Fastest workflow
Select the commodity → apply the base shock → read the downstream sector pressure and likely follow-through.
Chronos-2 + TimesFM methodology →
Use before OPEC, WASDE, Fed, or earnings-linked commodity shocks.
Free = sector direction and model context. Pro = stock-level names and deeper workflow.
High-intent event entry points
Before OPEC → oil workflow Before WASDE → grains workflow Before Fed → metals workflow
Step 1 · Select commodity

Select Commodity

Step 2 · Apply baseline shock
Select a scenario to view analysis
Historical prices + consensus forecast with Chronos-2 and TimesFM comparison
History
Observed settlement path
Consensus
Primary forecast path
Chronos-2
Comparison model line
TimesFM 2.5
Comparison model line
Consensus range
Expected band, p10 to p90
Saved workflow context
No workflow saved yet. Save the commodity and your watchlist once, then this simulator becomes a much sharper daily decision surface.
Build your workflow once, then use CommodityNode as a faster daily decision surface.

You already have a saved workflow. Re-open the live hub, then verify the scenario against your saved watchlist before the market reprices.

Build my workflow See Free vs Pro
Saved role
Not set yet
Saved commodities
No tracked commodities yet
Watchlist
No saved watchlist names yet
Freshness
Not saved yet
Decision workflow

Start with the preset shock, confirm the forecast direction, then read industry impact first and upgrade to company sensitivity only when naming the trade matters.

1. Set the base shock Choose the preset that matches the macro or supply story you actually care about.
2. Check model agreement Read consensus, Chronos-2, and TimesFM together before trusting one line in isolation.
3. Translate to positions Use sector direction first, then unlock stock-level sensitivity when naming the trade matters.

Forecasts are probabilistic. Consensus combines Chronos-2 and TimesFM 2.5, with p10–p90 ranges and model comparison. Not investment advice. See methodology

Where the free workflow stops

Free shows you the move, the headline forecast path, and sector-level pressure. Pro matters when you need named winners, losers, and deeper scenario translation.

Best use of Pro

Run the scenario, verify model agreement, then name the actual winners and losers before the market fully reprices.

Unlock the full decision workflow
New premium layer

If you want event odds, ripple ranking, stress tests, hedge ideas, explainability, anomaly detection, and RL-style policy support, open Intelligence Lab.

Open Intelligence Lab
Outcome summary
Run a baseline or event scenario to see likely winners, losers, and the confidence-sensitive read.
Watchlist relevance
Save a watchlist to see which names line up with this commodity shock.
Build watchlist
Current Price
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30-Day Consensus
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90-Day Consensus
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Use Pro for stock-level winners, losers, and deeper scenario translation after the forecast read.
Geopolitical Scenarios
Toggle real-world events to model price impact
Industry impact
Read this as the first downstream translation layer: which sectors absorb the move, which ones benefit, and where cost or margin pressure shows up first.
Sector-first view
Company sensitivity
Upgrade when you need stock-level winners, losers, and beta-sensitive names instead of sector-level direction only.
Pro surface

Unlock stock-level winners and losers

See which names are most exposed to this commodity shock, with historical beta sensitivity and scenario-ready positioning context.

Unlock stock sensitivity — start Pro →